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Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: June 12th, 2023

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  • The hell are you on about?

    Someone who basically just uses their screen to pull up a recipe to make dinner with is not going to have any problems. Similarly for someone who uses it to keep in contact with friends (directly, not via a social network).

    Someone who only spends a half hour a day using their phone, but that usage is scrolling on twitter or some bullshit like that? They’re absolutely going to have problems. It only takes a few seconds to read a post and then a shitty idea might lodge itself in their head.

    Focusing on just screen time rather than the content on it is expressly not focusing on the root cause, and we’re not going to fix anything if we focus on just the symptoms. It’s like trying to ban hammers because someone is smashing your windows with one. The hammer isn’t really the cause of the problem, and the person doing the smashing will continue a different way if they aren’t stopped.



  • Don’t get me wrong it’ll have to pop eventually, but I see it as very likely the US government will pump billions of taxpayer money into the industry to keep it going long after it should have failed. The US is basically guaranteed to go into a pretty bad recession when it pops now given basically all US GDP growth is from AI currently.

    Cancelling capacity is a good point that I missed, though there’ll still be the wave of non-AI but non-consumer demand that’s been pent-up, so it’s still not going straight back to the consumer.

    The inventory thing isn’t going to play out like that simply because the stuff being made is incompatible with consumer hardware. People running data centres might be able to do some cheaper server upgrades, but you’re not going to be putting HBM memory and SXM5 GPUs into any consumer motherboard

    3-4 months isn’t happening even if there’s a catastrophic, all-pops-at-once, event tomorrow. And honestly, given everything, I think the best we’re seeing is a negligible drop at least a couple of years away, and that’ll become the new norm.

    Oh another one I forgot, Bezos’ post-AI-bubble plan seems to be that consumers only get thin clients and rent compute from the cloud. I’d put money on AWS buying up the majority of spoils of unsold AI inventory, and fab capacity shifting to serve that. It’s now very much in Bezos’ interest to make sure consumer hardware prices never come down, so people are left with no other choice.


  • This one isn’t artificial scarcity, I’m afraid

    There is literally less available for the consumer because all the various chip fabs have had their capacity bought for AI data centre expansion.

    This is not the same as a scalper situation where the supply has been taken but ultimately needs to be sold back to consumers. You, a single consumer, are competing with the buying power of the likes of Google, Amazon & Microsoft.

    Plus they have booked up this capacity pretty far in advance, so even if they stopped buying up more today (they will not until the AI bubble pops), consumer prices aren’t going to change until all of that capacity reservation has passed. Then after that, all the companies that wanted to buy capacity, but couldn’t compete with the big ones will get their turn. Then eventually the fabs might find themselves with a bit of surplus capacity to increase the production of consumer hardware. Then there will be the pent-up consumer demand keeping prices elevated for a good number of months or years (depending how long this all goes on for). After all that, supply and demand could see prices dropping back down a bit.

    These fabs will start to physically expand on order to increase capacity if it goes on long enough, but these kind of expansions take many years to build and bring online.

    Other things to remember, the current US administration is motivated to prop up this bubble as long as they can because it’s basically the only industry in the US that’s not shitting the bed currently, so when it pops a lot of US GDP is going with it and probably going to cause a pretty bad recession. Another is inflation; by the time this is all over prices might have inflated enough due to the devaluation of money that any drop in prices would be offset.

    Basically, I wouldn’t hold your breath


  • Wait for the centralised thing to fuck something up (and they will), then say “hey I’ve been using this to get away from all the bullshit of [service name]”

    In the mean time, post & comment. The more content & discussion there is, the more attractive it will be to others. If you’ve got a niche hobby you’re passionate about, get a community going or try to grow an existing one if it already exists.

    I comment way more on Lemmy than I was doing on Reddit towards the end, partly because the people here are generally good to chat to, but also because I want this place to keep being good so I can continue to keep using it.




  • Magnets mostly messed with tapes, floppies and hard disks. I believe you could also mess up a CRT’s calibration with one.

    None of those technologies are particularly commonplace these days, especially not in those glasses.

    I mean an MRI level magnet could crush them, but you’re gonna struggle to move that around


  • Well I’d lean on the shoulder of giants in terms of the actual service and not do it completely from scratch given we’ve got Facebook-likes in the fediverse, you could suggest to them. But basically yes from a network perspective unfortunately

    Although you have given me an idea for an angle that the fediverse is perfect for: set up an instance for your local area

    That allows you to also do the “screw untrustworthy big tech, keep things local with people you know” kind of angle.

    Also obviously a fair bit of work, and you still have to ultimately convince people to use it, but worth highlighting regardless.


  • You unfortunately are coming at the problem from the wrong direction.

    The only social network they will want to use is the one with all their friends on it; and for the older generations, that’s basically just Facebook.

    In order to get them to move you’d need to get their friends to move, and in order to get their friends to move, you’ll need to get their friends to also move. It’s called the network effect and it’s why it’s incredibly hard for any non-established social networks to gain much of a market share.

    Your best bet (which is by no means a guarantee) is to wait for the latest Facebook scandal to be in the news, and chat to them about it whilst they’re watching it on TV. Plus add a bit more fuel by doing the ol’ “oh this reminds me of something else I was reading a couple of months ago…” And have some other recent scandals in your back pocket to fire out. Bonus points if you can already establish yourself on something like Friendica, which will allow you to say “yeah I quit Facebook a while ago, the company running it just seems skeevy, I’ve been using friendica instead for a bit now” or something like that

    Then you have to hope that registers enough as a talking point amongst them and their friends that it sticks. But you have an uphill struggle ahead with no certainty of success.



  • The chances of a true philanthropist beating out the psychopaths currently at the top of the chain, is basically nil. They will always fight dirtier.

    You need to ensure a government can exert power over the largest organisations in its country. If that ever becomes an issue, the organisation might start behaving as a de facto government of its own and start treating the actual government as a vassal.

    Basically we need to kick corporatist politicians out of our governments before they finish rolling out the red carpet for the end of democracy, and start chopping up and/or nationalising these proto-megacorps. If only a few control the tools that put us all out of work, we’re not getting anything close to utopia.


  • I’m not recommending it, I’m describing why saying it adds no security is silly.

    The keys being compromised on some motherboards doesn’t mean the whole concept is suddenly inert for every single user

    If everyone has a copy of my passwords and authenticator keys, that wouldn’t suddenly make 2 factor auth a compromised idea.

    Hell, even if you are one of those people running a machine with the compromised keys, it’s still going to block malware that was written before the keys were leaked unless malware authors have also figured out time travel.


  • 9point6@lemmy.worldtoLinux@lemmy.mlGrub and the Microsoft Ransomware
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    3 months ago

    Well boot sector viruses used to be all the rage in the 90s, they’re entirely impossible under secure boot

    Malware rootkits were a pretty big problem about a decade ago, I understand the techniques those mostly used are more or less impossible under secure boot now too

    Then we could go into all the government and adjacent industry use cases where state-sponsored targeted attacks are a real concern. Measures like filling USB ports with super glue and desoldering microphones on company laptops is not unheard of in those circles, so blocking unknown bootloaders from executing is an absolute no brainer.

    Saying it provides no security is just not true. Your front door isn’t only secure if someone has failed to break in


  • You don’t have to

    If you only need it for 90 days before it expires, Microsoft will give you the VM for free (and if you’re particularly industrious, you might write a script that then installs a load of your shit for you to run after you fire up a fresh one)

    If you don’t care about potentially breaking the law you can run it forever with a couple of scripts you can find on GitHub

    If you don’t want to break the law but also don’t want to pay full price you can get a dubious but working key from sites like G2A and cdkeys

    If that’s still too sketchy there’s the OEM licenses (honestly not worth it since they can only activate on a single machine ever)

    Or finally you might feel sorry for Microsoft for some strange reason and want to go full retail price.

    Basically the same experience with all options for a lot of cases, they’re just happy to have users it seems